Sometimes events overtake a perfectly good opinion piece and
render it moot. I had a nice, short
piece all planned out on how the economic crisis was a bunch of media ratings
headlines and nothing more. While an
unemployment rate of 7.8% was bad, it was nothing compared to past historical
recessions. We were in a normal
recession, slightly worse than the previous two but better than most recessions.
Unfortunately,
the government happened. President Obama
inspired fear and worry with repeated warning that if his spending plan weren't
passed we'd all be doomed. The stock
market plunged as his newly appointed cabinet spoke of nationalizing banks and
taxing people per mile. The 'buy
American' protectionists measures and huge new debt of the spending bill
increased concerns in financial markets both at home and abroad. Now unemployment is rising faster than before
while the government prints new money to pay for the stimulus, raising the
worry of future inflation to a near certainty.
We are
still not in a crisis. Full employment
is defined as being a 5% unemployment rate, even a 10% rate will be less than
what many European countries have had for decades. If the government reigns in future spending,
extends the Bush tax cuts and avoids protectionist measures calm will
prevail. Now that his spending plan is
passed, Pres. Obama will hopefully use the bully pulpit to calm the markets and
avoid investment-killing new government expenses. The vast majority of the media wants Obama to
be given credit for saving the economy.
If they start reporting good economic news the public will follow, just
as their earlier reports of doom and gloom helped begin the economic recession. Unfortunately, Pres. Obama is a socialist at
heart. He may not know any course of
action other than destructive government interference. His near-term actions may well determine if a
crisis actually develops in reality, not just in news headlines.